High pressure is moving east of the area for this morning, which will lead to an increase in south winds. These winds will bring warmth and moisture back into the atmosphere. Meanwhile, a cold front will begin to edge into Texas tonight and tomorrow. This is part of a larger trough of low pressure aloft that will be working through the central portions of the country. This trough will increase the conveyor belt of warm air transport aloft, which will add instability and wind dynamics to the atmosphere. This means that there is a potential for severe weather with this system.
Looking at the latest models, it appears the greatest instability and wind dynamics will miss us to the north. For that reason, the greatest risk for severe weather will be across Arkansas and southern Missouri. Across our area, severe weather will be more isolated in nature versus widespread. It appears the greatest hazards with this system will be damaging winds and hail, but an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out. Widespread rain and storm activity is not expected as the greatest lift will be right along the front. This means that a narrow strip of storms will likely work through and end pretty quickly. Prime time to see storm activity will be between 4pm-10pm.
Make sure to turn on your weather radios for tomorrow evening, stick with KALB.com for the latest warnings, and tune in to KALB. We will be cutting in to programming if any warnings across the area warrant it.
~Meteorologist Trevor Sonnier