Monday, May 21
There is one active Tropical Cyclone in the Atlantic Basin.
T.S. Alberto is located at 30.4N, 78.8W (175 mi East of Jacksonville, FL) and is moving East (90) at 7mph. Maximum wind speed is 40mph and the Minimum Central Pressure is 1007mb (29.74").
There are, currently, no coastal watches/warnings in effect.
Alberto continues to develop and is generating deep convection. However, the cloud pattern has begun to elongate to the NE. This indicates that shear, aloft, is intensifying. Global models are suggesting a significant increase in shear during the next 48 hours. This means that the storm will become even more elongated and more shear is expected.
Remember: Tropical cyclones, unlike mid-latitude cyclones, do not intensify with greater shear values. In fact, the lower shear values get, the more an environment is able to sustain tropical cyclones. With regular Cold Fronts and Low Pressure Systems that come from the West, the more shear, the better.
Alberto has turned toward the East. There is little change to the track forecast. This storm is still expected to continue moving NE and out to sea. With this track, the center of alberto is expected to stay offshore of the Georgia and Carolina coasts. It looks like Alberto will become a ‘Fish Storm' and not make landfall before fizzling out in the Atlantic Ocean. Alberto should begin accelerating as it turns toward the NE, during the next 48 hours.
Elsewhere, tropical formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.