Thursday, May 24
There are currently no active Tropical Cyclones in the Atlantic Basin.
There is an elongated area of low pressure, associated with an old cold front that is extending from the Northwestern Caribbean sea, across Western Cuba and into the Florida straits. This large area of disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity currently lacks a well defined center of circulation. Environmental conditions are not expected to be conducive for significant development during the next couple of days. This system has a low chance (20%) of becoming a tropical or subtropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it continues to move Northwestward across the Bahamas and into the SW Atlantic Ocean.
If this system can hold on through this 48 hour forecast period and into late Saturday or Sunday, conditions may become favorable for development at that time. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall and some flooding can be expected in areas affected by this system.
This system is not expected to affect Central Louisiana during the forecast period.
Elsewhere, tropical formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.