Friday, May 25
There are currently no active Tropical Cyclones in the Atlantic Basin.
There is an elongated area of low pressure, associated with an old cold front that is located near the Northwestern Bahamas and is producing an extensive area of showers and thunderstorms over the Bahamas and Cuba. While organization has not improved much today, environmental conditions are expected to become favorable for the formation of a subtropical or tropical cyclone by Saturday or Sunday. This low pressure will continue to move toward the NE at 15mph during the next day or so.
On Saturday, this system is expected to gradually turn back to the West. This system has a high chance (70%) of becoming a Tropical or subtropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.
It looks like this system will remain intact through the next day or so, and conditions will become favorable for development. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall and some flooding can be expected in areas affected by this system, to include but not limited to;
The Bahamas, Cuba and South Florida.
This system is not expected to affect Central Louisiana during the forecast period.
Elsewhere, tropical formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.