The Tropics are quiet today and no named storm is expected to develop for the remainder of this week. But what about the rest of the season? I have my guess;
I expect the 2012 Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season to be near the average for the active AMO pattern that began in 1995 but above the normal established prior to this active cycle.
Active AMO cycle...15
Near normal sea-surface temperatures...0
El Nino/LA Nina neutral pattern...+1
So my outlook is for 15 named storms; we have already had two.
Only time will tell.