There is currently an active Tropical Cyclone in the Atlantic Basin.
Tropical Storm (TS) Chris is located at 38.2N & 53.5W and is centered about 590mi South of Cape Race, Newfoundland. Chris has Max Sustained winds of 45mph and a Min Central pressure of 1005mb (29.68") and is moving East (100) at 17mph.
After Satellite, Radar and Surface Obs. analysis, T.S. Chris has a clearly defined center of circulation and is in a comma shape. The greatest convection associated with this system is located to the north of the storm. This storm has changed little since it formed, yesterday. Some slight intensification is possible as this storm begins to make a turn to the North. However, global and tropical models suggest that Chris will be a "Fish Storm" and remain over water for its entire life-cycle. During the next couple of days, Chris will move into much cooler waters of the North Atlantic Ocean, before it begins to make a turn to the North.
So, Chris will move over relatively cool water and into an environment with moderate shear during the next day or so. Then the turn to the North will begin. After this, models suggest that this storm will be dissolved by an approaching Cold Front.
T.S. Chris is not expected to affect the Gulf Coast.
An area of low pressure is extending from the NorthWestern Caribbean Sea NorthEastward toward Southern Florida and is producing widespread cloudiness, showers and thunderstorms. Upper-level conditions are somewhat conducive for development.
This system has a Low chance (20%) of becoming a Tropical Cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves slowly to the NorthWest.
This system looks to be gaining some organization. We will continue to monitor it for any development during the next couple of days.
There are NO Coastal Watches or Warnings in effect.
Elsewhere, tropical development is not expected during the next 48 hours.
For a continued look into the tropics, follow the link below to the Storm Team 5 Hurricane Center.