Friday, August 10
There two Tropical Disturbances in the Atlantic Basin that we are monitoring for development.
Tropical Depression Ernesto Dissipated at 10am(CDT), today.
The Remnants of Florence are no longer a concern as they are only producing Showers & Thunderstorms over the Western Atlantic and will be consumed by a Front during the weekend.
(Floater 1) – White Circle
T.D. Seven is located at13.7N & 49.5W and is currently centered about 775 miles East of the Windward Islands. This storm has Max Sustained winds of 35mph and a Min Central Pressure of 1009 mb (29.80"). Ernesto is moving West (270) at 23mph.
The convective structure of the Depression has changed little during the past few hours. The center of the depression has becoming more apparent in visible satellite imagery. The subtropical ridge to the north of T.D.7 is expected to continue steering this cyclone westward into the Caribbean Sea during the next couple of days. This ridge should break down over the far western Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico by days 4 & 5. Since the cyclone is expected to remain weak, not much gain in latitude is expected.
Tropical Storm watches and warnings are not being issued for this system.
(Floater 2) Tropical Wave – Orange Circle
A broad area of low pressure, associated by a tropical wave is located over the far eastern Atlantic (between the Cape Verde Islands and Africa. The low is producing a small area of showers and thunderstorms. And environmental conditions appear somewhat conducive for the formation of Tropical Depression during the next couple of days.
This system has a MEDIUM chance (50%) of becoming a Tropical Cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves WNW at 20mph.
Elsewhere, tropical development is not expected during the next 48 hours.
For a continued look into the tropics, follow the link below to the Storm Team 5 Hurricane Center.