Thursday, June 6
There is One Tropical Cyclone in the Atlantic Basin.
Tropical Storm Andrea is located 160 miles West of Tampa, FL & 140 miles South of Apalachicola, FL and centered at 27.7N & 85.1W. Max sustained winds are 60mph. Min central Pressure 997mb (29.44") and Andrea is moving NNE (025) at 14mph.
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for much of the Florida Gulf Coast.
T.S. Andrea is continuing to move North, through the GoM (Gulf of Mexico) and toward the Florida coastline. A turn toward the NE and increase in forward speed is expected later today. According to the official NHC (National Hurricane Center) forecast track, the center of Andrea will reach the Florida Coastline (near Big Bend) later today and continue moving inland through SE Georgia, and the Carolinas by Friday.
After satellite & analysis and the apparent strengthening of Andrea (as indicated by the Hurricane Hunter data) this storm has shown significant improvement of organization. There is a clearly defined center of circulation and healthy banding occurring. However, the majority of convection is in the Eastern half of the storm. Andrea is definitely a "Right Handed" storm. There is very little activity on the left half of the storm that is away from the Center. The convection that is present isn't even that strong. It doesn't look like this storm will continue to strengthen before making landfall.
So, the first landfall of the 2013 will be from the First named storm and as a Tropical Storm.
Regardless of the exact Track of this storm, the primary threats come from heavy rainfall over most of Florida. There is also a risk for tornadoes and flash flooding as a total of 3-10 inches of rainfall could affect FL during this event.
Elsewhere, tropical development is not expected during the next 48 hours.
For a continued look into the tropics, follow the link below to the First Alert Hurricane Center.