Monday, July 22
The National Hurricane Center is keeping an eye on a Tropical wave that has just moved over the Atlantic Ocean from the West Coast of Africa. This system is located about 500 miles ESE of the Cape Verde Islands and is showing some organization. With this particular system, we are keeping an eye on the environment ahead of the storm. There is very little shear, warm waters and favorable conditions for development. The combination of these variables creates a scenario that is conducive for tropical development. The good news is that this disturbance is all the way across the "pond" and East of the Cape Verde Islands. As this system moves West, it will traverse the Southern edge of a High Pressure Ridge in the Atlantic. This ridge looks like it will hold strong and guide our disturbance all the way across the Atlantic Ocean. We will keep a close eye on this system and update as needed.
Development of this system during the next few days is possible as it moves West at 10-15mph.
This system has a LOW chance (<10%) of becoming a Tropical Cyclone during the next 48 hours.
Elsewhere, in the Atlantic, Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean, No tropical development is expected during the next 48 hours.
For a continued look into the tropics, follow the link below to the First Alert Hurricane Center.