Along the Atlantic Florida coastline, there is somewhat decent organization and enhanced convection associated with an area of low pressure 75 miles east of Melbourne, Fla. Atmospheric conditions are favorable for immediate development, however by tomorrow night, those conditions begin to fade as upper level wind shear takes part in weakening the system. The National Hurricane Center has given this system a 50% chance of development into a tropical system within the next 48 hours. This low pressure will likely be influenced by a trough off the US east coast and will recurve into the Atlantic, possibly skirting the rest of the US Atlantic coast. This will lead to areas of heavy rainfall along the coast and the possibility of a few gusty winds. We will continue to watch this low as time progresses.
Elsewhere, in the Atlantic, Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean, No tropical development is expected during the next 48 hours.
For a continued look into the tropics, follow the link below to the First Alert Hurricane Center.