DISTURBANCE 92-L - KALB-TV News Channel 5 & CBS 2

DISTURBANCE 92-L

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Disturbance 92-L in the western Caribbean continues moving west-northwest at 10-15 mph. This system will move into the Gulf of Mexico by Saturday. In the short-term, conditions are becoming more favorable for strengthening; however, in the long-term, as 92-L moves into the Gulf, conditions will become less favorable. An Air Force plane is scheduled to investigate 92-L on Thursday.

Our forecast models appear to be in two camps regarding the movement of 92-L. One group of models takes the system on amore westward track toward south Texas and Mexico. The other group brings 92-L into the Louisiana coast south of New Orleans. The forecast models also show much variance in the strength of 92-L; their forecasts range from hurricane to no development. At this point, I favor the weaker scenario.

I'll post another update Thursday.

Tom Konvicka

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