Hurricane Season is Ramping Up as Expected - KALB-TV News Channel 5 & CBS 2

Hurricane Season is Ramping Up as Expected

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There are currently two tropical systems to talk about. Tropical Storm Erin is far east from us, near Africa. Sustained winds are at 40mph and it is moving WNW at 16mph. Minimum central pressure is at 1006mb. This is still quite far away and at the moment, we are not too concerned about it.

Closer to home, a tropical wave is in the Atlantic. The National Hurricane Center is declaring a 50% chance of development into a cyclone within the next 48 hours. A center of circulation, although beginning to form is still not strong. There is weak upper level low in the center of the Gulf of Mexico. This has influenced the wave by helping increase the wave's outflow, thus increasing convection and intensity. The closer this wave moves to the low, the higher the risk for the wave to become sheared by the low, which is not good for the wave. The wave is forecasted to move over the Yucatan, which is also not favorable. Currently, models are taking it as far west as Mexico City and as far east as New Orleans. Most models are currently only forecasting a tropical storm or a weak hurricane. With so much uncertainty at the current moment, you still do not want to take this storm for granted. Keep with News Channel 5 for the latest updates.

Elsewhere, development is not expected during the next 48 hours.

For a continued look into the tropics, follow the link below to the First Alert Hurricane Center.

 http://www.kalb.com/category/187198/hurricane-center

 ~RG3
Meteorologist Robert Gauthreaux

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