The Atlantic Basin remains quiet today although an area of disturbed weather continues in the northern Gulf of Mexico. A weak trough of low pressure extends from between New Orleans and Mobile southwestward into the north central Gulf. Movement is toward the west at 10 mph. The system is battling dry air and modest shear of 15-20 knots. Tropical cyclone development is not expected.
As I keep saying, the Tropical Atlantic may become more active next week into the first part of September. It looks like the train of westward-moving disturbances from Africa will become more established. Several disturbances are expected to emerge off Africa between August 26-29. The presence of these waves will begin to counteract the dry air that has been inhibiting cyclone development lately.
Have a good weekend.