Thursday, August 29
In the Atlantic, Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean, there are a couple areas of interest that we are monitoring for further development in the Atlantic Basin.
A Tropical Wave that is moving over Western Africa. After this wave moves over the Atlantic Ocean, an area of Low Pressure could form as this system moves along, to the west at 5-10mph. Some development is expected during the next 48 hours. However, significant development will not occur until after this system enters the Atlantic and moves into an environment that is conducive for development.
This system has a LOW chance (<10%) of becoming a Tropical Cyclone during the next 48 hours.
This system has a MEDIUM chance (30%) of becoming a Tropical Cyclone during the next 5 days as conditions become more favorable for development.
Cloudiness, coupled with showers and thunderstorms are associated with a Tropical Wave that is located 1000 miles East of the Lesser Antilles. This area is not showing much convection at all and there is only limited activity through the slowly developing system.
Development, if any, will remain slow to occur during the next couple of days while this wave moves Westward at about 15mph, toward the Lesser Antilles.
After that time, upper-level winds could inhibit further development and some vertical shear could be present.
This system has a LOW chance (<10%) of becoming a Tropical Cyclone during the next 48 hours and a continued LOW chance (20%) during the next 5 days.
Elsewhere, development is not expected during the next 48 hours.
For a continued look into the tropics, follow the link below to the First Alert Hurricane Center.