There are two areas highlighted by the National Hurricane Center:
1. A tropical wave SE of Puerto Rico has a more favorable chance of development (30%) within the next 48 hours thanks to some favorable atmospheric conditions. There is an upper level trough off the eastern seaboard of the Unites States. This has created a split in the models, with a majority of the models calling for a recurved track into the Atlantic, implying that the system will be likely interacting with the trough. If the trough does not interact with the system in time, a westward track may be possible, with terrain in the way as well. We will be watching this system in the coming days.
2. There is also an area of interest near the Yucatan Peninsula. Because it is moving over high terrain, conditions are not favorable. This may have a chance once it enters the Bay of Campeche. The National Hurricane Center has given this system a 20% chance of development within the next 48 hours. We will continue to watch this one as well.
No development is expected within the next 48 hours elsewhere.
For a continued look into the tropics, follow the link below to the First Alert Hurricane Center.