T.S. Ingrid in the Southern Gulf of Mexico - KALB-TV News Channel 5 & CBS 2

T.S. Ingrid in the Southern Gulf of Mexico

Posted: Updated:

Monday,September16

11:10am

There are Three areas of interest in the Atlantic Basin to include Two tropical cyclones.

Ingrid(Tropical Storm)
T.S. Ingrid is located about 25milesWest of La Pesca, Mexico and is centered at23.8N& 98.2W. Max sustained winds are 60mph. Min central Pressure 993mb (29.32") and the storm is moving WNW(285) at 8mph.

Watches/Warnings:
Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for;
La Cruz Northward to Rio San Fernando

Others
NONE

Satellite and Radar data (Brownsville), along with data from a Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that Ingrid made landfall near La Pesca, Mexico shortly before 12z this morning. A few hours later it is evident that land interaction has started to disrupt the progression of this storm and T.S. Ingrid was downgraded earlier today. Ingrid will quickly weaken as it moves further inland and begins to interact with the mountainous terrain of Mexico. It should completely dissipate within the next 24-36 hours.

Mexico is also dealing with the Interaction of the remnants of Manuel on the Pacific Ocean side of the country. These two storms interacting together will produce a lot of heavy rainfall on both sides of the Sierre Madre Oriental Mountains.

The combination of these two storms will produce a torrential rainfall across mexico that will likely cause life-threatening flooding and mudslides during the next couple of days.

Other than some outlying banding of the storm(Over Southeast Texas), Ingrid is not expected to impact the Northern Gulf of Mexico or the Gulf Coast of the US.

Humberto(Tropical Storm)
T.S. Humberto is about 1200 SW of the Azores and is centered at27.2N& 43.2W.Max sustained winds are 40mph. Min Central Pressure 1007mb (29.26") and the storm is moving WNW(300) at 8mph.

Watches/Warnings:
NONE

During the past day or so there has been a lot of convection that continues to show signs of development. Though this system is continuing to move North & NW, and is not expected to make a significant landfall, we are still keeping an eye on this "Fish Storm".
Humberto continues to show signs of development and organization. Organization is mainly evident in the continued improvement in conditions. The LLC (Low Level Center) and the bulk of convection bursts continue to grow closer together. As the distance between these two features dwindles, the storm is becoming better organized.
This storm has enough organization and convection to once again be considered a Tropical Cyclone.
This storm is expected to continue to the NW. At least, until it begins interacting with an approaching cold front from the Atlantic Coastline of North America. Once the front begins interacting with Humberto, we will see a sharp turn to the left (NE). When the storm makes that turn, it will slow down in forward speed.
After that time Humberto will continue approaching the mid latitudes. This will do 2 things; increase fro ward speed and increase vertical shear. .

Model guidance is in very good agreement with the development of this storm. Some of the model data does suggest that this storm could see continued development and once again become a Cat 1 Hurricane before dissipation starts up, again.

Humbertoe is not expected to affect the Gulf Coast.


Other Features in the Atlantic Tropics

(3)
An area of Low Pressure located over the NW Caribbean Sea is expected to continue moving Westward or WNW across the Yucatan Peninsula and into the SW GoM (Gulf of Mexico during the next couple of days.
After crossing the Yucatan and entering the Southern GoM & Bay of Campeche, we could see this storm stall out (in forward speed) and begin to develop. The area ahead of this storm (Past the Yucatan Peninsula is favorable for some gradual development.

There is a LOW chance (0%) of this storm becoming a Tropical Cyclone during the next 48 hours (before crossing the Yucatan and entering the Southern GoM. And a slight chance (20%) during the next 5 days (after clearing the Yucatan).

For a continued look into the tropics, follow the link below to the First Alert Hurricane Center.

http://www.kalb.com/category/187198/hurricane-center



~DEW
Meteorologist Dorrell Wenninger

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