Monday, October 7
In the Atlantic, Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean, there are a couple areas of interest that we are monitoring for further development in the Atlantic Basin.
Over the Eastern Atlantic Ocean, several hundred miles SW of the Cape Verde Islands, there is an area of disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Associated with a tropical wave, this activity may turn into an elongated area of Low Pressure. Upper-level winds are forecast to gradually become unfavorable for development during the next couple of days. Later this week, strong upper-level winds will make development even less likely. This area of interest is moving WNW around 10mph.
This system has a LOW chance (20) of becoming a Tropical Cyclone during the next 48 hours. And, a MEDIUM chance (30%) of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days.
A weak area of low pressure is located midway between Puerto Rico and Bermuda. This system is moving slowly to the north.
Showers and thunderstorms associated with the low are disorganized and environmental conditions are unfavorable for significant development of this system during the next several days.
This system has a LOW chance (<10%) of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. And a continued LOW chance (10%) during the next 5 days.
For a continued look into the tropics, follow the link below to the First Alert Hurricane Center.