In the Atlantic, Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean, there are a couple areas of interest that we are monitoring for further development in the Atlantic Basin.
Over the Eastern Atlantic Ocean, there is a broad area of low pressure that is located about 400 miles SSW of the Cape Verde Islands. This area is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this disturbance. This disturbance is moving slowly to the WNW. Upper level winds are forecast to become a less favorable for development later in the week.
There is a MEDIUM chance (40%) of this disturbance becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours and a MEDIUM chance (50%) during the next 5 days.
Disorganized cloudiness, showers and thunderstorms extends several hundred miles SSE of Bermuda. This weak, elongated area of low pressure is producing a lot of convection. Environmental conditions are expected to be unfavorable for significant development during the next several days. As this system moves to the North at 5-10mph, it will be moving into an area that is not expected to become favorable for development.
This system has a LOW chance (<10%) of becoming a tropical or subtropical cyclone during the next 48 hours and a continued LOW chance (10%) during the next 5 days.
For a continued look into the tropics, follow the link below to the First Alert Hurricane Center.