Severe weather predicted again for central Louisiana
SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL INCREASING. A strong disturbance aloft will move over central Louisiana early Monday morning. As this system approaches and passes overhead, rain and t-storms will develop. From the latest analyses of the model data, it appears the threat is increasing.
THREAT LEVEL...Significant. This means the coverage and intensity of the severe weather event has increased. Watches and warnings will likely be issued.
THREATS...All modes of severe weather are on the table for this event: hail, high wind, tornadoes, prolific lightning, and flash flooding. Enhanced severe events are possible.
HAIL...Large hail is possible with supercell storms that occur with this system and may exceed the size of a golfball.
WIND...Damaging t-storm wind will occur in some areas with peak gusts reaching or exceeding 75 mph.
TORNADOES...Several modes of convection will be able to produce tornadoes. Strong tornadoes, at EF-2 strength or higher, may occur.
RAINFALL...Most amounts will be between one and four inches with peak amounts to six inches as perhaps a comfortable estimate. Some models have suggested 8-10 inches may occur. The extreme diffluence aloft and the tremendous low-level transport of high-quality moisture tell me that these higher totals are possible. Rainfall rates will be prodigious and may cause flash flooding.
TIMING...Noon Sunday through 6 AM Monday.
RESPONSE...Please monitor your weather sources for watches and warnings. Your First Alert Storm Team will be on duty with live broadcasts and updates on social media platforms. STAY AWARE AND BE PREPARED!