Rays vs. Rangers Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread - AL Wild Card Game 1

Published: Oct. 3, 2023 at 8:41 AM CDT|Updated: Oct. 3, 2023 at 9:47 AM CDT
Tuesday's game at Tropicana Field has the Tampa Bay Rays (99-63) taking on the Texas Rangers (90-72) at 3:08 PM ET (on October 3). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 6-3 victory for the Rays, so expect a competitive matchup.
This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Rays will send Tyler Glasnow (10-7) to the mound, while Jordan Montgomery (10-11) will take the ball for the Rangers.
Rays vs. Rangers Game Info & Odds
- When: Tuesday, October 3, 2023 at 3:08 PM ET
- Where: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida
- How to Watch on TV: ABC
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo!
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Rays vs. Rangers Score Prediction
Our prediction for this game is Rays 5, Rangers 4.
Total Prediction for Rays vs. Rangers
- Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
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Explore More About This Game
Rays Performance Insights
- The Rays have played as the favorite in seven of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
- In its last 10 games with a total, Tampa Bay and its opponents are 9-1-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
- The Rays have not played a game with a spread over their last 10 outings.
- The Rays have entered the game as favorites 127 times this season and won 84, or 66.1%, of those games.
- Tampa Bay is 56-22 this season when entering a game favored by -150 or more on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Rays, based on the moneyline, is 60%.
- Tampa Bay has scored 860 runs this season, which ranks fourth in MLB.
- The Rays' 3.87 team ERA ranks fifth among all MLB pitching staffs.
Rangers Performance Insights
- The Rangers have played as the underdog in three of their past 10 games and have gone 1-2 in those contests.
- In its last 10 games with an over/under, Texas and its opponents have combined to eclipse the total three times.
- The previous 10 Rangers games have not had a runline set by oddsmakers.
- The Rangers have been chosen as underdogs in 47 games this year and have walked away with the win 22 times (46.8%) in those games.
- Texas has a mark of 5-10 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +125 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Rangers have an implied victory probability of 44.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Texas scores the third-most runs in baseball (881 total, 5.4 per game).
- The Rangers have the 17th-ranked ERA (4.27) in the majors this season.
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Rays Schedule
Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
---|---|---|---|
September 26 | @ Red Sox | W 9-7 | Zach Eflin vs Tanner Houck |
September 27 | @ Red Sox | W 5-0 | Tyler Glasnow vs Brayan Bello |
September 29 | @ Blue Jays | L 11-4 | Aaron Civale vs Yusei Kikuchi |
September 30 | @ Blue Jays | W 7-5 | Shawn Armstrong vs Hyun-Jin Ryu |
October 1 | @ Blue Jays | W 12-8 | Jacob Lopez vs Wes Parsons |
October 3 | Rangers | - | Tyler Glasnow vs Jordan Montgomery |
October 4 | Rangers | - | Zach Eflin vs Nathan Eovaldi |
Rangers Schedule
Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
---|---|---|---|
September 27 | @ Angels | W 5-0 | Dane Dunning vs Griffin Canning |
September 28 | @ Mariners | L 3-2 | Jordan Montgomery vs Logan Gilbert |
September 29 | @ Mariners | L 8-0 | Nathan Eovaldi vs Bryan Woo |
September 30 | @ Mariners | W 6-1 | Andrew Heaney vs Luis Castillo |
October 1 | @ Mariners | L 1-0 | Dane Dunning vs George Kirby |
October 3 | @ Rays | - | Jordan Montgomery vs Tyler Glasnow |
October 4 | @ Rays | - | Nathan Eovaldi vs Zach Eflin |
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